![]() If you have a pair of aces in your hand and you’re all-in against someone pre-flop, there’s an 85.2% chance of you winning at showdown. Let’s take a look at some in-game scenarios to demonstrate the likelihood of variance occurring at the tables. Poker is a game of playing the probabilities. Although you can usually expect to win all-in situations when your hand is ahead post-flop, there’s always a chance that a 10% underdog has their day. Ultimately, bad beats are the cause of variance. Most of you will know only too well what a bad beat is. Think of variance in poker as the natural variation of hand outcomes at the tables. When poker players put their losses down to variance, they accept that downswings can happen just as frequently as upswings. You can be the most talented poker player on the planet, but no one is immune to the fickle hand of variance. Even the world’s best poker players will encounter variance at some point in their careers.
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